Live Bet Tracker

Every signal is timestamped before kickoff. Nothing is hidden, nothing is deleted.

LiveVIGBREAK · PAPER LEDGER

Updated 28 JUL 2026

Cumulative P&LALL

+307.34u

1511 settled · 60 pending · since Jun 8, 2026

ROIALL

+1.15%

Avg CLVEV

+1.62%

Win rateEV

37.6%

Beat closeEV

60.5%

Total betsALL

1571

1511 settled · 60 pending

Win rateEV

37.6%

124W · 206L

Avg CLVEV

+1.62%

vs closing line

Beat closeEV

60.5%

244 of 403 bets

Running average CLV chart

Running average CLV across all settled EV bets. Higher means our prices consistently beat the market's closing line.

Upcoming Signal Events

Signals taken by our paper-trader - not every signal generated

Why not every signal? →View all 1571 →

Sport	Date	Event	Type	Odds	Result	P&L
BSB	Jul 28	Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians	ARB	2.46 + 1.70	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 28	Detroit Tigers v Baltimore Orioles	ARB	1.87 + 2.22	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 28	Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks	EV	2.26	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 28	Washington Nationals v Toronto Blue Jays	ARB	2.70 + 1.93	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 28	New York Mets v Atlanta Braves	ARB	2.28 + 1.85	PENDING	-
BSK	Jul 28	Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun	ARB	3.10 + 1.50	PENDING	-
BSK	Jul 28	Washington Mystics v Connecticut Sun	EV	2.02	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 28	Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees	ARB	1.95 + 2.13	PENDING	-
SOC	Jul 29	Botafogo v Grêmio	EV	4.50	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros	ARB	1.69 + 2.49	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	Athletics v Boston Red Sox	EV	2.00	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	Athletics v Boston Red Sox	ARB	1.80 + 2.30	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies	EV	2.70	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	San Diego Padres v Colorado Rockies	ARB	2.41 + 1.74	PENDING	-
BSB	Jul 29	San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers	EV	1.80	PENDING	-
BSK	Jul 29	Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty	EV	2.56	PENDING	-
BSK	Jul 29	Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty	ARB	2.72 + 1.62	PENDING	-
SOC	Jul 29	Internacional v Flamengo	EV	3.60	PENDING	-
SOC	Jul 29	Mirassol v Remo	EV	2.15	PENDING	-
BSK	Jul 30	Dallas Wings v Atlanta Dream	ARB	2.18 + 1.87	PENDING	-

Recent Results

Sport	Date	Event	Type	Odds	Result	P&L
BSB	Jul 28	San Francisco Giants v Milwaukee Brewers	ARB	2.35 + 1.77	WON	+0.24u
BSB	Jul 28	Athletics v Boston Red Sox	EV	2.20	PUSH	+0.00u
BSB	Jul 28	Athletics v Boston Red Sox	ARB	1.89 + 2.15	WON	+0.15u
BSB	Jul 28	Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros	EV	1.96	LOST	-0.59u
BSB	Jul 28	Los Angeles Angels v Houston Astros	ARB	2.08 + 2.00	WON	+0.49u
BSB	Jul 27	St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs	ARB	2.35 + 1.78	WON	+0.32u
BSB	Jul 27	Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees	ARB	2.20 + 1.86	WON	+0.20u
BSB	Jul 27	New York Mets v Atlanta Braves	EV	2.06	PUSH	+0.00u
BSB	Jul 27	New York Mets v Atlanta Braves	ARB	1.90 + 2.14	WON	+0.16u
BSB	Jul 27	Cincinnati Reds v Cleveland Guardians	ARB	2.30 + 1.80	WON	+0.24u

How this works

VigBreak tracks positive expected-value and arbitrage opportunities and logs a paper bet the moment each signal fires, always before the event starts.

Stake sizes are Kelly-optimised: we run half-Kelly on a 100-unit bankroll, so a stronger edge gets a bigger stake and a marginal one gets almost nothing. To reduce variance, EV bets with odds above 5.0 are not paper-traded. They are still winning signals, just excluded from the ledger. Wins and losses are recorded exactly as they land. We never delete a bet or edit a result.

The number that matters most is CLV. Beating the closing line is the only reliable sign of a real edge.

Full bet history →